Unit 13: Probability

Exercise 13.1 Solutions

Step-by-step solved textbook exercises for basic probability concepts, sample spaces, coins, dice, playing cards, and algebraic letters.

Question 1 Dice Tossing
Arshad rolls a dice, with sides labelled L, M, N, O, P, U. What is the probability that the dice lands on consonant?
Solution

When the dice is rolled, the sample space is:

S = {L, M, N, O, P, U}

The total number of outcomes is:

n(S) = 6

Let A be the event of getting a consonant. The consonants in the sample space are L, M, N, and P:

A = {L, M, N, P}

The number of favorable outcomes is:

n(A) = 4

Using the probability formula:

P(A) = n(A)n(S) = 46 = 23

Thus, the probability of getting a consonant is 23.

Question 2 Pair of Dice
Shazia throws a pair of fair dice. What will be the probability of getting:
  • (i) Sum of dots is at least 4.
  • (ii) Product of both dots is between 5 to 10.
  • (iii) The difference between both the dots is equal to 4.
  • (iv) Number at least 5 on the first dice and the number at least 4 on the second dice.
Solution

When a pair of fair dice is rolled, the sample space S consists of 36 outcomes represented as follows:

Die 1 \ Die 2 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 (1, 1) (1, 2) (1, 3) (1, 4) (1, 5) (1, 6)
2 (2, 1) (2, 2) (2, 3) (2, 4) (2, 5) (2, 6)
3 (3, 1) (3, 2) (3, 3) (3, 4) (3, 5) (3, 6)
4 (4, 1) (4, 2) (4, 3) (4, 4) (4, 5) (4, 6)
5 (5, 1) (5, 2) (5, 3) (5, 4) (5, 5) (5, 6)
6 (6, 1) (6, 2) (6, 3) (6, 4) (6, 5) (6, 6)

Total outcomes: n(S) = 36

  • (i) Sum of dots is at least 4:
    Let A be the event that the sum of dots is at least 4. Instead of counting all outcomes with sum ≥ 4, we count the complement (sum less than 4):
    Outcomes with sum < 4 are: A' = {(1, 1), (1, 2), (2, 1)} with n(A') = 3.
    Therefore, n(A) = 36 − 3 = 33 outcomes.
    P(A) = n(A)n(S) = 3336 = 1112.
  • (ii) Product of both dots is between 5 to 10 (inclusive):
    Let B be the event that the product of both dots is between 5 and 10.
    Listing all such pairs:
    B = {(1, 5), (1, 6), (2, 3), (2, 4), (2, 5), (3, 2), (3, 3), (4, 2), (5, 1), (5, 2), (6, 1)}
    Their respective products are: 5, 6, 6, 8, 10, 6, 9, 8, 5, 10, 6 (all within [5, 10]).
    The number of outcomes is: n(B) = 11.
    P(B) = n(B)n(S) = 1136.
  • (iii) The difference between both the dots is equal to 4:
    Let C be the event that the difference between the two dots is 4.
    Listing all such pairs: C = {(1, 5), (2, 6), (5, 1), (6, 2)} with n(C) = 4.
    P(C) = n(C)n(S) = 436 = 19.
  • (iv) Number at least 5 on the first dice and at least 4 on the second dice:
    Let E be this event. First die must show 5 or 6; second die must show 4, 5, or 6.
    Listing the pairs: E = {(5, 4), (5, 5), (5, 6), (6, 4), (6, 5), (6, 6)} with n(E) = 6.
    P(E) = n(E)n(S) = 636 = 16.
Question 3 Word Letters
One alphabet is selected at random from the word "MATHEMATICS". Find the probability of getting:
  • (i) Vowel
  • (ii) Consonant
  • (iii) an E
  • (iv) an A
  • (v) not M
  • (vi) not T
Solution

The letters of the word MATHEMATICS are:

S = {M, A, T, H, E, M, A, T, I, C, S}

Total letters: n(S) = 11

  • (i) Vowel:
    Vowels are {A, E, A, I}. Let V be the event of choosing a vowel. n(V) = 4.
    P(V) = 411.
  • (ii) Consonant:
    Consonants are {M, T, H, M, T, C, S}. Let C be the event of choosing a consonant. n(C) = 7.
    P(C) = 711.
  • (iii) an E:
    The letter E occurs once: {E}. Let E_event be the event of choosing E. n(E_event) = 1.
    P(E_event) = 111.
  • (iv) an A:
    The letter A occurs twice: {A, A}. Let A_event be the event of choosing A. n(A_event) = 2.
    P(A_event) = 211.
  • (v) not M:
    The letter M occurs twice: {M, M}. The probability of getting M is:
    P(M) = 211.
    The probability of not getting M is:
    P(not M) = 1 − P(M) = 1 − 211 = 911.
  • (vi) not T:
    The letter T occurs twice: {T, T}. The probability of getting T is:
    P(T) = 211.
    The probability of not getting T is:
    P(not T) = 1 − P(T) = 1 − 211 = 911.
Question 4 Correction Applied
Aslam rolled a dice. What is the probability of getting the numbers 3 or 4? Also find the probability of getting the numbers not 3 or 4.
Solution

When a single dice is rolled, the sample space is:

S = {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6},   n(S) = 6

Part 1: Probability of getting 3 or 4:

Let A be the event of getting 3 or 4: A = {3, 4}, with n(A) = 2.

P(A) = n(A)n(S) = 26 = 13.

Part 2: Probability of getting not 3 or 4:

This is the complement of event A:

P(A') = 1 − P(A) = 1 − 13 = 23.

Mathematical Note on Textbook Typo The textbook question repeats "getting the numbers 3 or 4" twice. However, the solved key in the textbook calculates the complement probability 1 − 13 = 23 for the second question. To resolve this error, we corrected the second part to ask for the probability of getting "not 3 or 4" to match the textbook's intended math.
Question 5 Numbered Cards
Abdul Hadi labelled cards from 1 to 30 and put them in a box. He selects a card at random. What is the probability that the selected card contains:
  • (i) the number 25
  • (ii) number between 17 to 22
  • (iii) number at least 20
  • (iv) number not 27 and 29
  • (v) number not between 12 to 15
Solution

The sample space contains cards labelled from 1 to 30:

S = {1, 2, 3, ..., 30},   n(S) = 30

  • (i) The number 25:
    Let A be the event of selecting card 25: A = {25}, n(A) = 1.
    P(A) = 130.
  • (ii) Number between 17 to 22 (inclusive in the textbook key):
    Let B be this event: B = {17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22}, n(B) = 6.
    P(B) = 630 = 15.
  • (iii) Number at least 20:
    Let C be this event: C = {20, 21, 22, ..., 30}, n(C) = 11.
    P(C) = 1130.
  • (iv) Number not 27 and 29:
    Let D be the event of choosing card 27 or 29: D = {27, 29}, n(D) = 2.
    The probability of choosing 27 or 29 is: P(D) = 230 = 115.
    The probability of NOT choosing 27 or 29 is the complement:
    P(D') = 1 − P(D) = 1 − 115 = 1415.
  • (v) Number not between 12 to 15:
    Let E be the event of selecting a number between 12 and 15: E = {12, 13, 14, 15}, n(E) = 4.
    The probability of getting a card between 12 and 15 is: P(E) = 430 = 215.
    The probability of NOT getting a card between 12 and 15 is:
    P(E') = 1 − P(E) = 1 − 215 = 1315.
Question 6 Complementary Probability
The probability that Ayesha will pass the examination is 0.85. What will be the probability that Ayesha will not pass the examination?
Solution

Let A be the event that Ayesha will pass the examination.

P(A) = 0.85

The event that Ayesha will not pass the examination is the complement of A, denoted as A':

P(A') = 1 − P(A)

Substituting the given value:

P(A') = 1 − 0.85 = 0.15

Thus, the probability that Ayesha will not pass the examination is 0.15.

Question 7 Logical Notes Added
Taabish tossed a fair coin and rolled a fair dice once. Find the probability of the following events:
  • (i) tail on coin and at least 4 on dice.
  • (ii) head on coin and the number 2,3 on dice.
  • (iii) head or tail on coin and the number 6 on dice.
  • (iv) not tail on coin and the number 5 on dice.
  • (v) not head on coin and the number 5 and 2 on dice.
Solution

When a fair coin is tossed and a fair dice is rolled once, the sample space S consists of 12 outcomes:

S = {(H, 1), (H, 2), (H, 3), (H, 4), (H, 5), (H, 6), (T, 1), (T, 2), (T, 3), (T, 4), (T, 5), (T, 6)}

Total outcomes: n(S) = 12

  • (i) Tail on coin and at least 4 on dice:
    Let A be this event: A = {(T, 4), (T, 5), (T, 6)}, with n(A) = 3.
    P(A) = 312 = 14.
  • (ii) Head on coin and the number 2 or 3 on dice:
    Let B be this event: B = {(H, 2), (H, 3)}, with n(B) = 2.
    P(B) = 212 = 16.
  • (iii) Head or tail on coin and the number 6 on dice:
    Note: The book states "head and tail" (physically impossible simultaneously), but resolves it as "head or tail".
    Let C be this event: C = {(H, 6), (T, 6)}, with n(C) = 2.
    P(C) = 212 = 16.
  • (iv) Not tail on coin and the number 5 on dice:
    • Correct Logical Answer: "Not tail" means Head. The event is {(H, 5)}, with 1 outcome. Probability = 112.
    • Textbook Solution: The textbook defines the base event as "tail and 5 on dice" i.e. {(T, 5)} (prob = 112), and then takes the complement of this entire joint event, calculating 1 − 112 = 1112.
  • (v) Not head on coin and the number 5 or 2 on dice:
    • Correct Logical Answer: "Not head" means Tail. The event is {(T, 2), (T, 5)}, with 2 outcomes. Probability = 212 = 16.
    • Textbook Solution: The textbook defines the base event as "head on coin and (5 or 2) on dice" i.e. {(H, 2), (H, 5)} (prob = 212 = 16), and then calculates the complement: 1 − 16 = 56.
Mathematical Note on Q.7 (iv) & (v) The textbook key solves parts (iv) and (v) by calculating the complement of the joint event (e.g. 1 − P(tail and 5) instead of applying the negation only to the coin state (e.g. P(not tail and 5)). We have provided both the correct logical interpretations and the literal textbook calculations so students can satisfy grading keys while learning the correct mathematics.
Question 8 Playing Cards
A card is selected at random from a well shuffled pack of 52 playing cards. What will be the probability of selecting:
  • (i) a queen
  • (ii) neither a queen nor a jack
Solution

Total cards in a standard deck: n(S) = 52

  • (i) Selecting a queen:
    There are 4 queens in a deck. Let A be the event of selecting a queen: n(A) = 4.
    P(A) = n(A)n(S) = 452 = 113.
  • (ii) Selecting neither a queen nor a jack:
    Let B be the event of selecting a queen or a jack. Since there are 4 queens and 4 jacks:
    n(B) = 4 + 4 = 8 cards.
    The probability of selecting a queen or a jack is:
    P(B) = 852 = 213.
    The probability of selecting neither is the complement event B':
    P(B') = 1 − P(B) = 1 − 213 = 1113.
Question 9 Playing Cards
A card is chosen at random from a pack of 52 playing cards. Find the probability of getting:
  • (i) a Jack
  • (ii) no diamond
Solution

Total cards in a standard deck: n(S) = 52

  • (i) Getting a Jack:
    There are 4 jacks in a deck. Let A be the event of selecting a jack: n(A) = 4.
    P(A) = 452 = 113.
  • (ii) Getting no diamond:
    Let B be the event of selecting a diamond card. There are 13 diamonds in a deck:
    n(B) = 13.
    The probability of selecting a diamond is:
    P(B) = 1352 = 14.
    The probability of selecting no diamond is the complement event B':
    P(B') = 1 − P(B) = 1 − 14 = 34.

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